Decorative banner for the Commercial Real Estate section: abstract geometric shapes in the site's colours. It carries no data.

Deal arithmetic

Internal rate of return (IRR)

The discount rate at which a deal's cash flows have a present value of zero.

Rent & lease payments Deal arithmetic Calculator available

This page defines one term. If you have arrived here from a listing or a broker's summary, the useful order is: read what it is, then read what it does not tell you, and only then look at the number you were quoted. What would mislead: any single measure on a property is a summary of one year, one assumption or one document. None of them describes a whole investment, and the misreading section below is there because each of these terms has one that is extremely common.

IRR = the rate r where Σ CFₜ ÷ (1 + r)ᵗ = 0

The line above is the formula, written the way it is calculated. Every letter in it is an input somebody chose, which is why the same building can be quoted two different ways honestly. Where a number in the formula is an estimate — future rent, future expenses, a future sale price — the answer inherits the estimate.

What it is

IRR compresses a whole schedule of cash flows — the equity out at the start, the distributions along the way, the proceeds at sale — into one annualised rate. It is the only common metric that accounts for both the size and the timing of money.

Because it is solved from an assumed schedule, an IRR is only as good as the assumptions inside it, and one of those assumptions — the sale price — is usually the largest single number in the model and the least knowable.

What it tells you

The time-weighted rate implied by a specific set of cash flows, which allows deals of different shapes and lengths to be compared on one scale.

What it does not tell you

Whether the assumptions are true. It also says nothing about how much money was made in absolute terms — a large IRR on a small, short deal can be less money than a modest IRR held for a decade.

The common misreading

Two errors recur. Believing IRR is a fact rather than the output of a forecast, and forgetting that it is extremely sensitive to timing — pulling a sale forward raises IRR without a dollar more being earned. Pair it with the equity multiple, which is immune to that trick.

There is a calculator for this
You can run this one with your own figures. It computes in your browser, stores nothing, and the output is arithmetic on what you type — not a market quote and not a projection.

Open the calculator

Where it sits in the sequence

Every commercial deal runs the same arithmetic in the same order. This measure is one line in it.

The list below is how a whole deal is worked out, from the rent on the schedule to the cash an owner keeps. Find the step this term belongs to and you can see what it has already counted and what it has not. What would mislead: quoting one line of this sequence as though it were the answer. Each step subtracts something real, and the ones after it subtract more.

  1. Rent roll Contract rent, tenant by tenant Start from the leases, not from a summary. Each line has a start date, an expiry, an escalation schedule, options, and any free rent or unamortised concession still running. The rent roll is a legal document set, and the estoppel certificates are how a buyer confirms the tenants agree with it.
  2. Potential gross income Contract rent + market rent on vacant space + other income + expense recoveries What the property would produce fully leased, including parking, signage, storage, late fees and the reimbursements tenants owe for taxes, insurance and common-area costs. Recoveries are income and the matching expense is an expense — netting them hides the recovery ratio.
  3. Effective gross income Potential gross income − vacancy − credit loss − concessions Deduct what will not actually be collected: physical vacancy, tenants who do not pay, and concessions granted. Using an assumed market vacancy rather than the property's own history is one of the most common places a model becomes optimistic.
  4. Operating expenses Taxes + insurance + utilities + repairs + management + admin + payroll The cost of running the building for a year. Two lines deserve independent verification rather than acceptance: property taxes, which are frequently reassessed on a sale, and insurance, which is quoted to the buyer and not inherited from the seller. A market management fee belongs here even if the current owner charges none.
  5. Net operating income Effective gross income − Operating expenses = NOI The property's own income, before financing and before tax. This is the number that value, cap rate and every lender covenant are calculated from, which is exactly why it is the number most often presented flatteringly.
  6. Value and cap rate Value = NOI ÷ Cap rate · Cap rate = NOI ÷ Price One equation used in both directions. Divide NOI by a cap rate to estimate value; divide NOI by a price to see what a deal is being priced at. Because value is derived from NOI, every dollar added to or removed from NOI moves the value by a multiple of itself.
  7. Capital items below the line NOI − capital expenditure − tenant improvements − leasing commissions Excluded from NOI by convention, but paid in cash. Roofs, parking lots, HVAC replacement, fitting out space for a new tenant and the commission that won the lease all come out of the same account. A reserve for them is the difference between an honest analysis and a brochure.
  8. Debt service Cash flow before tax = NOI − annual debt service (− capital items) Interest and principal on the loan. This is where DSCR is tested, where the loan constant decides whether leverage is adding to or subtracting from cash flow, and where a covenant breach can divert income into a lender-controlled account before the owner sees it.
  9. After tax Taxable income = NOI − interest − depreciation ± other adjustments Cash flow and taxable income are different numbers. Depreciation is deducted though no cash left, principal repayment is cash out though it is not deductible, and the resulting loss may be suspended under the passive activity rules rather than used. At sale, recapture and gain settle the difference.
What can go wrong in the underlying asset
Direct commercial real estate concentrates several risks that listed income does not. Illiquidity: there is no bid. Selling means marketing an asset for months, and in a poor market the option to sell at a sensible price may simply not exist. Leverage: value is derived from NOI and a cap rate, so a fall in income or a rise in cap rates reduces equity faster than it reduces income, and a loan maturing into that market has to be refinanced on the terms available then, not the terms assumed at purchase. Single-tenant concentration: one building leased to one tenant goes from fully occupied to empty on a single date, and a purpose-built structure may need substantial capital before anyone else can use it. Capital expenditure: roofs, parking lots, HVAC, tenant improvements and leasing commissions sit below the NOI line, are excluded from every cap rate quoted, and are paid in cash. Operating businesses attached to real estate — hotels, gas stations, car washes — add business risk on top: there is no lease, income moves with trade, and equipment and environmental obligations arrive on their own schedule. And direct property is only truly passive with professional management, which is a recurring cost taken out of the same income everything else is measured against. Total loss of the equity is possible, and leverage makes it possible sooner.

Where commercial property is researched and financed

LoopNet

A CoStar-operated listing marketplace for US commercial property for sale and for lease, searchable by asset type and market.

Asking prices, not transaction prices

Visit LoopNet ↗
Crexi

A commercial real estate marketplace covering for-sale listings, online auctions and lease space, with broker-supplied offering memoranda.

Visit Crexi ↗
CrowdStreet

An online marketplace where accredited investors commit capital to individual commercial property deals run by third-party sponsors.

Deal-level risk sits with the sponsor; the platform is not the operator

Visit CrowdStreet ↗
Fundrise

A platform that pools retail money into non-traded real estate and credit funds, with redemptions handled through periodic windows rather than an exchange.

Share values are set by the sponsor's NAV, not by a market price

Visit Fundrise ↗

Internal rate of return (IRR) — frequently asked

Why can two deals with the same IRR pay very different amounts of money?
Because IRR is a rate, not an amount. A deal that doubles a small sum in two years and one that grows a large sum steadily for ten can solve to the same rate while returning wildly different totals. The equity multiple answers the amount question, which is why the two are quoted together.
What makes an IRR unreliable?
Its dependence on the terminal value. In most property models the sale proceeds dominate the cash-flow schedule, and the sale price is usually derived by applying an assumed exit cap rate to a projected NOI several years out. Two assumptions stacked on each other produce most of the answer.
Where do these numbers come from in a real deal?
From the leases, the trailing operating statements, the loan term sheet and the tax return — not from a marketing package. Every metric on this page is arithmetic on inputs that can be verified in documents, which is why the diligence list matters more than the formula. A precise metric computed from an unverified input is still an unverified number.

This section is a structural reference, not investment, tax or legal advice, and nothing in it recommends buying, selling or financing any property. It contains no market quotes: no current cap rates, rents or prices, because those are negotiated privately and are not publicly quotable. Tax rules described here are general US federal mechanisms that change with legislation, and state and local rules differ. Verify anything that matters with an attorney, an accountant and an appraiser who know the specific property and jurisdiction.

View
Theme